Why the Midterms Are Breaking Against Trump

Christopher F. Rufo

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Why the Midterms Are Breaking Against Trump

The economic numbers that explain the voter backlash

Christopher F. Rufo

Nov 02, 2026

∙ Paid

Who’s going to win tomorrow’s midterm elections? According to Polymarket, the Democrats are almost certain to take the House, and they now have a 74 percent chance of taking the Senate.

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